Animagician – Minecraft Championships 12 – Analysis and Predictions!

This video i spend way too much time collecting stats and analyzing minecraft tournament can i predict stuff accurately or will i be wrong this is an mcc 12 analysis also only a small percentage of people who watch my videos are actually subscribed so if you end up enjoying the video consider subscribing

It’s free and you can also unsubscribe later enjoy can can you tell i’m running out of new ways to introduce these videos let’s not fall about then disclaimers are all running on screen now let’s get into the objective analysis of the mcc 12 teams or the birthday mcc

And just a psa these are not my predictions those are at the end of the video alright in last place statistically we have the aqua actual lottos this team although having some much higher than average scores from false and random survival games and f weapon false in ace race only

Really does well consistently in build mart in most if not all movement based games with ace race being a notable exception all the axolotls underperformed through a considerable margin in games like park or warrior or to get to the other side in addition to this bingo is also a game

In which faults wren and grian all underperform though this is slightly mitigated by f whip getting the much higher score than average all in all the axolotls don’t perform that well on average in movement based games which is what really puts them in last place i should mention here that the

Team this mcc are incredibly balanced there’s just 50 unmultiplied coins in between 10 face and first place and this means that it’s really just everyone’s game to lose on the day of the tournament next up we have the most surprising stats placement of this mcc in my opinion

The red rabbits at first glance this looks like a top five team and it probably will be a top five team but it’s not represented very well in the numbers for a few reasons first wisp is an average for this team though given his content he’d probably do well above average

So he’s slightly misrepresented here apart from this tabo after being in three mcc’s has had one outstanding performance and two decidedly disappointing ones his average is much lower than his potential because he underperformed in both mcc 10 and 11. lastly quakti has only played in one mcc

Before this means that he’s an average in some games and he performed below the event average in every single one of the games which he did play in mcc 10 with the only notable exception being the split game sounds of time again tommy is the main reason this team

Beats out aqua because he has some games in which he does extremely well like sky battle survival games and to get to the other side coming in at just six on multiplied coins ahead of the rabbits we have the blue bats i can basically guarantee to you now that this team won’t place

In this place in the actual tournament since two of its best players illumina and puns are averages puffy and car are good at the tournaments sure but even when accounting for their experience puns and illumina will almost certainly beat them out in most games but instead are averages since they haven’t played before

In fact i’d even go so far as to say that puns won’t even be affected by the experiences advantage because he’s reviewed hours of vods on stream and from my experience as a tester if you watch enough mcc and are actually paying attention on how to do well

You don’t really have that much of a hands-on experience playing disadvantage even in games like ace race which are supposed to be hellishly hard for first-timers in seventh place though we have the lime llamas this team is again extremely close to eighth place with just an unmultiplied coin difference of three coins

And the main reason for this is because within the line llamas two of the members tend to be slightly above average and one is a fair bit below average in every single game and in every single game fruit berries lifts the lower player up and thereby lowers himself down to the

Level of average or sometimes even above average which was just enough for this team to snag those extra coins needed to get 7th the orange ocelots come in at 6th surprisingly the dream snp team as some people have been calling it manages to pull away and get sixth place

Simply because of age and funny scores and movement being pretty far above average with h in particular managing to pull carl up to an above average player and finally doing similarly for eric though to a lesser extent since eric has a higher score on his own this team does extremely well in both

Bingo and hole in the wall as khan is an average for bingo and fondly is one of the best hole-in-the-ball players in the tournament and this team might also even do better than expected in holding the wall because hbom’s average has been really badly affected by a few really bad

Rounds or games and therefore his skill isn’t very fairly represented by his average score in fifth place though we have the yellow yaks this team is actually being quite underrated in most of the other predictions i’ve seen and i think that fifth place is actually quite the fair place to keep them

Quigg is well a god and sp and raga rocky are both amongst the most slept on players in the entire tournament there is not much to say here the other averages on the team are fairly normal with the only notable anomaly being a big spike in the average for parkour warrior

As both sp and dry guy rocky beat out the average by a significant amount before we move on to 4th place though could you do me a favor and like the video i am trying an algorithmic experiment so you could help me to try and absolutely destroy youtube’s day

Please leave a like anyway next we come to the team which just missed the podium for stats the team in fourth place by a margin of just 13 unmultiplied coins is the scion creepers this team does pretty well overall with pizza hut bringing the team up from an average

Team to a top 14 simply with his movement scores once again and cbk being one of the most consistent players in the tournament getting a top 20 spot nearly every single mcc and is better than the average in quite a lot of games which can be practiced like parkour warrior and survival games

Solidarity or jimmy is also a really good player for where most people place him having played in a fair few for fun teams jimmy’s average is really badly affected but he still managed to pull some higher than average scores in ace race for example pete and lauren

Sort of cancel out similar to peyton james in mcc 11 though lauren played in mcc 5 and not mcc 4 and pete pulls lauren up to above average in most of the games that she played in fcc five and can pull up the team as a whole in

The games that lauren didn’t play i think it’s also worth mentioning that lauren tweeted that she’ll be trying not to be the worst in her team so if he does practice a lot this team has a lot of potential third place arguably the most annoying place to get is claimed by the purple

Pandas who miss out on the stats by his dodgeball by just 5 coins this team is really carried by major and sapnap both of whom are among the best players in the tournament though scott does tend to get slept on a fair amount notably this team gets first in pvp

Based games but drops the ball in movement games probably because of dan not performing that well in parkour in ace race as mcc 10 was his first mcc shovel also does very well but again loses crucial points in ace race sounds of time and bingo then the silver medal for mcc 12 just

Half a coin away from first place we have the pink pirates both michael mchill and spy fee though they’re regarded by most as nerfs are actually fairly average players with scores that fluctuate around the average and have pretty high scores in to get to the other side and parkour warrior respectively

Which pull their overall averages up to just a little above average captain sparkles consistently performs above average and is easily a top 15 player specializing in games like parkour warrior and ace race but this team is really pulled up to second place by dream who gets above average in every

Single game and single-handedly gets enough coins to cancel out spyfy and michael’s lower scores and still pull the team’s average up as well and this leaves us with the green guardians who take first place the main reason this team does so well is because of consistency where

The pink pirates had one player like dream to really boost their average this team does consistently very well in almost every game and each player specializes in separate areas of the tournament which helps this team to be consistent and to get 250 plus average coins for every single member both pvp and

Movement based games phil and george actually do the best on this team in terms of high scores across the board so temple and wilbur are there for games like sky battle in which phil doesn’t have that high of a score so yeah those are the stats based rankings for mcc 12 again those

Weren’t my predictions so if you want to hear those do stick around at the end of the video also if you want to hear a bit more behind the scenes about how i made the spreadsheet and more importantly the multiple mistakes that i made in my previous videos

Which caused some confusion to say the very least stick around to the very end i know a lot of you don’t want to hear that kind of stuff so i’m going to whack it there to not interrupt this flow anyway let’s move on to a subjective analysis of each team

Now so whack that sign up there in the corner Beginning with the red rabbits this team is a fairly homogenous mix of friends from the dream snp the sbi kind of group with the exception of wisp so i highly doubt that this team will have any chemistry or communication problems in addition to this whisper and tommy

Have a lot of history and prior knowledge of each other thanks to snb earth so again i can see tommy leading this team to victory which has a well above average chemistry in my opinion next let’s talk lime llamas this team got really heavily underrated statswise so i

Just want to mention here that they’ll probably do much better than their stats suggested pearlescent moon has also said on the reddit that she’s getting more and more people recognizing her hole-in-the-wall skill and that she’d try her best to perform to their standards if the game is picked

As for chemistry cobb and pearl would probably have good chemistry having known each other from both being connected to hermitcraft pretty strongly and pearl and joel have already teamed before as have joel and cobb so i really don’t see this team having that many chemistry issues either though communication might be an issue

As all these players tend to be more on the reserved side when a team is being called the dream smp team it’s fairly obvious that they won’t have any chemistry issues the orange ocelots are all well acquainted with each other from the dream snp and since this team is

Made up of less meanie people i swear i mean that in the nicest way possible i don’t think the team will have many communications issues either it’s a similar story with the green guardians although the members of this team aren’t all a part of a singular snp they’re all in very similar

Circles and are bound to know each other i can see either topple or phil leading this team the only problem that might arise in my opinion though is with topple and the rest of the team as they haven’t interacted that much though the chances of this happening are

Extremely small and obviously this means on camera i have no idea what they do off camera the yellow yaks are the most underrated team of this mcc and there’s no doubt about it this is sb 737’s best team yet dry guy rocky consistently performs well and gizzy gaza has said himself that he’ll

Be trying really hard for this mcc so with quigg as team leader i can see this team coordinating really well and coming in the top four despite what the stats might say the axolotls again probably won’t have any chemistry problems at all false ren and green are all hermitcraft

Members and f whip is noticeably similar to all of them in both playstyle kills and the content he makes i can see false leading this team in high intensity pvp situations but grian being more loud taking the lead in more relaxed games after the yellow yaks the stats probably

Underrate the blue bats the most puns and illumina although first-time players are definitely in the top tier of minecraft players and won’t get the averages that the stats say they will ponz has also been practicing a fair amount with his teammates like puffy so chemistry and coordination which

Might have otherwise been an issue for the bass likely won’t show up i can see this team easily netting a third place spot with good game order and if illumina practices and studies the same degree that puns is doing the cyan creepers at first glance look like they might run

Into chemistry issues but on further inspection this probably won’t be the case lauren having only played one mcc before might take a game or two to readjust in the beginning but cpk and jimmy both know how to support strong players and with them as a solid foundation

Pete as leader and lauren as she said trying her best i don’t see this team having that many problems either this team probably has the most tenuous chemistry though so do bear that in mind the purple pandas are all fairly similar in style and mindset and the only problem i can see

Is saplab’s competitive spirit maybe getting the better of him in a team of players that are generally more laid back they’ll probably be able to communicate effectively but i feel that scott will be extremely important to this team’s chemistry to help coordinate the team and keep

Morale high and will also be a good mediator any issues that might arise out of competitiveness lastly we have the pink pirates dream and michael have teamed before in the infamous mcc-8 team but spivey and the captain are new additions to this dynamic it’s pretty fair to assume that captain

Sparkles in dream will have a good dynamic since they tend to excel in similar games and talk to the same people on the camera of course spyfy showed an mcc 9 that he can fit in fairly well to any team and sparkles and michael have also talked a lot before

On snp live and in mcu where they were teamed all in all fairly middling team chemistry and communication with dream as the obvious leader lastly then let’s talk about the individual games the best team for bingo is the orange ocelots followed by the blue bats the best player in bingo is actually f

Whip with a massive 465 average points on multiplied and is around a 70 point lead over h-bomb who gets second hole in the wall is claimed by the scion creepers who are followed by the yellow yaks and it’s no surprise that first place individual goes to pete but shockingly

Second place goes to fundy who beats out quick by just two coins cyan is followed by lyman build mart and first and second place go to pete and quite surprisingly fruit although this does make sense even fruit’s been getting put on a lot of teams which specialize in build mod recently

Sapnap beats out pete for first place in sands of time and also nets the purple fandus first place and sounds of time where they’re followed by the orange ocelots pete reclaims his crown as the ace king whereas fruit claims second place in ace race though only pete is able to lead his

Team the scion creepers the first and ace race where they’re followed by the green guardians the pink pirates win to get to the other side thanks to dream getting first individual and are followed by the green guardians and fundy in second respectively yellow gets beaten out by pink for first

In parker warrior and dream beats pete out for the title of first individual in parkour warrior aqua having a lot of the mcc nine blue bats tried valiantly to win survival games but is beaten out by the purple pandas dream claims first place individually only just managing to scrape it out of fruit

Berry’s hands who gets second place pete and quake claim first and second respectively for rockets leaf and quigg manages to lead the yellow yaks to first in rocket’s leaf whereas pete trails behind and allows the pink pirates to snag second place sky battle is won by the green guardians

Who are closely followed by the purple pandas who also have the second place sky battle player sapnap who is left in the dust by dream when he gets first in sky battle so those are all the games broken down so now let me talk a little bit

About what needs to be said how i made this spreadsheet and the mistakes i made in my previous video alright so let’s start off with my mistakes because there are almost too many to count first i was scoring ace race completely wrong and giving participants almost three times more coins than they should

Be given which massively skewed the stats in favor of those who were good at ace race in addition to this a lot of my formulas which i used to average in the spreadsheet were wrong as they gave certain games too much precedence and value their individual averages the

Same as multiple other game averages and finally the main mistake i made was the way i was getting my averages because what i used to do was take the previous averages multiply them and thus try to correct for the neighbors scores and that method was just completely mathematically wrong

And led to a lot of corruption in the data over time which leads me onto the new spreadsheet i made here i have a shout out to give to um i i think it’s pronounced dragon balloon he’s um he’s one of the most knowledgeable mcc statisticians around

And he helped to no end to put together scores for my new spreadsheet basically i compiled individual scores from mcc 8 till mcc 11 in one place and also got the averages from mcc one to seven from u slash jtfl3’s reddit spreadsheet and was going to use the average of

Those scores to get the new scores there were two more problems though some of the mcc one to seven stats were not 100 correct since they were averages of team scores from the earlier mccs and also it would be unfair to value one mcc like mcc 8

As equal to the average of seven other mccs so me and dragon sat down and compiled individual scores from the earlier mccs re-averaged and used those stats instead i then change the averaging formula to account for the mcc one to seven average correctly by just repeating that data

Point in the formula the amount of times it had been played in the actual mcc’s one to seven and i think that makes sense uh dragon and quite a few other of the mtc statisticians i know have now confirmed and cross-checked my spreadsheet so i don’t think it’s wrong anymore

So i think this is probably one of the most accurate spreadsheets that’s out there right now and again big thanks to dragon for all his help now my predictions i’m going to split this into dodgeball and coin predictions and we’ll be ranking the top four of each

Team in each if you disagree with my predictions though feel free to leave a comment down below and i will comment back telling you exactly why you’re just objectively wrong and i am the only person who is ever right about any of these things um i’m joking obviously i do i have to

Specify that i’m joking i’m joking okay for coins i think that purple will get first followed by green and then blue and then orange and i think that’s a fair assumption given the nature and makeup of those teams but for dodgeball i think that orange is the best candidate to win

Followed by blue then purple and then green and um yeah that that’s it check out my twitter if you want to see more of me and my live analysis of mcc 12 on the day and as always massive shout out to my channel members and a verbal thank you

To those of you who are wizard tier including thunderball 101 ender pekka and lebron james again i really do hope you enjoyed the video make sure to leave a like for the experiment comment share subscribe do all the good stuff and i will see you in the next video see ya